Padraig can win the Cup if he wins the tournament and Tiger comes in 3rd or worse.
If Paddy doesn't win the tournament but comes in 2nd:
- Tiger has to come in 11th or worse,
- Stricker, 5th or worse, and
- the other three, 4th or worse.
(Of course, I picked Paddy to win, so the other scenarios don't really matter. But now I know... and so do you.)