ATTENTION, READERS in the 28 EUROPEAN VAT COUNTRIES: Because of the new VAT law, you probably can't order books direct from my site now. But that's okay -- just go to my Smashwords author page.
You can order PDFs (as well as all the other ebook formats) from there.

Friday, May 19, 2017

Lydia Makes a Statement

I said earlier in the week that I expected Lydia Ko to lose her Number One ranking this week, as So Yeon Ryu and Ariya Jutanugarn are within a mere quarter point of her. And while Lydia hasn't been playing badly this year, she hasn't won yet. With Ryu winning the ANA and Jutanugarn defending this week, I think that's a problem.

Apparently Lydia finally decided to take matters into her own hands.

Lydia Ko earlier in the week at Kingsmill

After the first round, Lydia is at -4 (T5), two shots off Lexi Thompson's lead. So Yeon is three shots behind her at -1 (T34), and Ariya another two shots back at +1 (T73). While one round doesn't normally mean a whole lot, Lydia tied her best-ever round at Kingsmill and beat her best first round score by three shots. That's significant.

The LPGA has done a post with the various scenarios where each player will take over -- or in Lydia's case, retain -- the Number One spot. It's a lengthy list, and confusing. But here they are:
-------
There are several possible scenarios for each player to be ranked No. 1 following the Kingsmill Championship:
  • If Lydia Ko wins, she will remain No. 1
  • If either So Yeon Ryu or Ariya Jutanugarn win, they will become No. 1
  • If Ko, Ryu and Ariya finish T2, Ko will remain No. 1
  • If Ko and Ariya finish T2 AND Ryu finishes 3rd or worse, Ko will remain No. 1
So Yeon Ryu could take over No. 1 if any of the following scenarios (12th or better finish) occur:
  • Ryu is T2 with Ariya AND Ko finishes 3rd or worse
  • Ryu is 2nd alone AND Ko and Ariya finishes T3 or worse
  • Ryu is 3rd alone AND Ko and Ariya finishes T4 or worse
  • Ryu is 4th alone AND Ko finishes 6th or worse AND Ariya finishes 5th or worse
  • Ryu is 5th alone AND Ko finishes 11th or worse AND Ariya finishes 6th or worse
  • Ryu is 6th alone AND Ko is not in top 14 AND Ariya is not in top 6
  • Ryu is 7th alone AND Ko is not in top 18 AND Ariya is not in top 7
  • Ryu is 8th alone AND Ko is not in top 24 AND Ariya is not in top 8
  • Ryu is 9th alone AND Ko is not in top 30 AND Ariya is not in top 9
  • Ryu is 10th alone AND Ko is not in top 40 AND Ariya is not in top 10
  • Ryu is 11th alone AND Ko is not in top 50 AND Ariya is not in top 11
  • Ryu is 12th alone AND Ko is not in the top 61 AND Ariya is not in the top 12
Ariya Jutanugarn could take over No. 1 if any of the following scenarios (7th or better finish) occur:
  • Ariya is 2nd alone AND Ko and Ryu finish T3 or worse
  • Ariya is 3rd alone AND Ko is not in top 5 AND Ryu is not in top 3
  • Ariya is 4th alone AND Ko is not in top 8 AND Ryu is not in top 4
  • Ariya is 5th alone AND Ko is not in top 14 AND Ryu is not in top 5
  • Ariya is 6th alone AND Ko is not in top 21 AND Ryu is not in top 7
  • Ariya is 7th alone AND Ko is not in top 29 AND Ryu is not in top 8
-------
I think it's interesting that So Yeon Ryu has the most potential scenarios to take over the top spot, but Lydia still has a tremendous amount of leeway to prevent her from doing so. I mean, there are scenarios where Lydia can keep her spot just by making the cut. It's insane!

As I said, one round doesn't determine anything. But Ariya is currently below the projected cut and Ryu needs to get past 52 other players -- plus Ko -- to win. (Yes, the top of the leaderboard is absolutely packed after the first round.) If Lydia merely plays solid golf for the rest of the tournament, she's going to be hard to catch.

And that may be the biggest statement Lydia Ko can make this week. I certainly heard her loud and clear.

No comments:

Post a Comment