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Sunday, July 15, 2012

New Importance for the Scottish Open

By the time many of you read this, the Aberdeen Asset Management Scottish Open will be completed... and the results may give us some important clues about next week's Open.

Here's the deal: The weather has been slowly changing at Inverness. According to the Weather Channel page for Inverness, the high will only be 58 degrees F, the winds will be 10 to 20 mph, and there's a 40% chance of rain. This just may give us some idea what next week holds for the Open.

And given how some of the better-known names are currently playing at the Scottish Open, this just might show us a potential favorite or two:

Phil Mickelson's unexpected good play -- for a second year in a row -- may indicate that he's finally found out how to play (and win?) an Open.

Luke Donald may not defend his title this week, but he's certainly showing some form.

Anders Hanson is only one off the lead, and his scoring has been very consistent this week.

Only one of the Molinari brothers made it into the Open this time. Fortunately for Francesco, it's him... and he's also leading the Scottish Open this week. Francesco is particularly interesting to me because 6 of his last 11 rounds -- that's his last 3 tournaments -- have been 68 or better, including a 64 and a 62.

Martin Laird is tied with Phil at T5, only 3 shots off the lead.

In all, 4 of the top 6 players this week -- and 6 of the top 10 -- are in the Open next week. I'll be watching the final round today with an eye to picking my favorites in a few days.

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