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Sunday, November 17, 2013

Some Days I Amaze Myself

Yeah, really, I do. It's rare that things play out the way I expect on the course, let alone when I predict the way I expect them to go. But I came pretty close in yesterday's post with my predictions for the Lorena Ochoa Invitational.

I said the wet conditions favored the long hitters, Gerina Pillar and Lexi Thompson. Gerina struggled but Lexi shot a bogey-free 67 (tying the low score of the day) to take the outright lead by one stroke at -13. Lexi could get her second win in 4 weeks if she pulls this off.


And which player is one stroke back? I.K. Kim, who I mentioned as being the only past winner to have shot the score I projected as a likely winning score (they're still on pace for that -18, btw), and because of that I said she was still close enough to be a threat.

So Yeon Ryu was only -1 on the day so she's 3 strokes back in solo 4th, a stroke behind Stacy Lewis. While I didn't think Stacy could win POY, I did say she could make it hard on Suzann's efforts. I also said I thought the conditions favored Ryu, and there she is, well within striking range.

I can't remember the last time I was right about 4 different players in a single post! (Or in multiple posts for that matter.) I hope this doesn't put the famous Ruthless Golf curse on all 4 of them. If it does, I think that would be a record also.

For those of you who are interested, here's the link to Lexi and Inky's press interviews after the round. Since this tournament isn't being broadcast, it's one of the few ways to keep up with what's going on.

As for Sunday's prediction... Here's all the pertinent info: Lexi, Inky, and Stacy all shot 67 on Saturday although only Lexi had a clean round. Inky's not hitting a lot of greens in regulation. Lexi's not hitting a lot of fairways although she's so much longer than the others that it doesn't seem to be hurting her. So Yeon is hitting the most fairways and greens, and only Inky has taken fewer putts. And Lexi has led in both LPGA tournaments that she's won. So...

I think it's going to be a showdown between Ryu and Thompson. If So Yeon can get her putter going, I think she wins; otherwise Lexi's length off the tee will give her the win.

Oh, and that POY race? Inbee and Suzann are tied at -8 (T7), 5 off the lead. Unless Suzann gets really hot in the final round, I think Inbee's got POY locked up. I thought Suzann just might pull it off, so I probably missed that one.

That doesn't amaze me at all.

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